The Forex Markets Today

The Markets Today Wednesday 06 August 2008 / 09:50h CET

EUR/USD	1.5500
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Down to 1.5440 and back. Medium-term bearish trend-line at 1.5545 this morning, sell any spikes, continue to target 1.5350 this week.		The Euro may not spike and simply fall back to 1.5470 with space to fall further. A daily close above 1.5550 stops the immediate bearish view.	1.5470 MINOR 1.5515 MINOR 1.5435 STRONG 1.5545 TREND 1.5350 TARGET 1.5610 STRONG

GBP/USD	1.9560
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
The downside was widened to 1.9510, since any recovery has been short-lived and pressure is still on the downside. Looking to extend the current fall to 1.9430 or even further		Strong initial resistance 1.9600. Intra-day allow for spikes to 1.9630 to sell again, a daily close higher risks 1.9800	1.9515 MINOR 1.9600 STRONG 1.9460 STRONG 1.9630 STRONG 1.9430 TARGET 1.9720 STRONG

USD/JPY	108.30
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
It has made a new high overnight and for now remains above old 108.25 high. Stay long, expect a rise to 109.50-ish.		Stop longs upon breaking 108.15, stronger support 107.80, a daily close lower risks a correction.	108.20 MINOR 108.50 MINOR 107.80 STRONG 108.85 MINOR 107.50 MINOR 109.30 TARGET

USD/CHF	1.0515
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Very short-term bullish trend broke this morning, the pair may see a set-back to as low as 1.0445, buy dips.		A return back above 1.0530 turns us bullish, medium-term target remains 1.0660	1.0495 MINOR 1.0535 MINOR 1.0445 KEY 1.0590 MINOR 1.0395 STRONG 1.0660 TARGET

XAU/USD	884.00
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Gold fell as low as 872 before starting to turn. Currently on a minor upswing it may try the 888 level and could even reach 895. SELL rallies		A new dip underneath of 880 has space for at least 865 or even 850	880 STRONG 888 MINOR 873 MINOR 895 STRONG 865 STRONG 903 STRONG

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The Forex Markets Today

The Markets Today Monday 04 August 2008 / 09:40h CET

EUR/USD	1.5585
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Fridays fall was stopped at 1.5505 and the Euro bounced back to the starting point. Strong bearish trend at 1.5610, SELL here, we continue to wait for a fall targeting 1.5350		A close above 1.5625 on the 4-H charts stops the immediate bearish view and further range 1.5550 - 1.5750 may be seen this week.	1.5570 MINOR 1.5610 TREND 1.5525 STRONG 1.5625 KEY 1.5460 STRONG 1.5700 STRONG

GBP/USD	1.9705
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Cable is weakening and trades at the lowest level in 3 weeks. Minor support 1.9700, stronger at 1.9660 may hold and Cable risks a pullback towards 1.98		A fall through 1.9660 as space for a larger fall to as low as 1.9440.	1.9700 MINOR 1.9735 MINOR 1.9660 STRONG 1.9800 STRONG 1.9570 STRONG 1.9880 KEY

USD/JPY	107.80
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Expect to hold range 107.30 / 107.90 with bias to break the top. Medium-term target remains 110.		An hourly break at 107.25 risks trying the 106.65 key support.	107.25 STRONG 107.90 MINOR 106.65 KEY 108.20 STRONG 105.90 STRONG 108.90 MINOR

USD/CHF	1.0470
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
While above 1.0445 we remain bullish – target remains 1.0660		1.0445 intra-day key support broken risks a set-back to 1.0385, a daily close lower stops the rise.	1.0445 STRONG 1.0500 MINOR 1.0390 TREND 1.0540 MINOR 1.0350 MINOR 1.0660 TARGET

XAU/USD	914.00
EXPECTATION		THE RISK	SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Bearish trend stands at 918 this morning – SELL here and look to widen the downside towards 880.		An hourly close above 918 stops the short-term bearish view and Gold could maintain a range 910 -935	911 MINOR 918 TREND 895 STRONG 923 MINOR 882 TARGET 930 STRONG

Throughout our partnership with the industrial leaders, we are capable of delivering incomparable quality of online currency trading service.
ForexGen services are all controlled by the international banking and financial regulatory standards.
ForexGen is continuously providing the Forex market's safest trading terms & conditions. Providing professional currency trading services that meet our client's expectations is our first priority.

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ForexGen customer satisfaction is our major objective. To reach our business goals, we strive to put our client's goals in focus. We highly value our clients and always aim to exceed their expectations and cross the limitations encountered by the sophistication of the Forex trading industry.

Euro Will Likely Form a Low in Next Few Days

The EURUSD is consolidating above 1.58 but a drop below there is probable today or early next week before a tradeable low is in place. 1.5611 remains the bullish 'line in the sand'.

There is little new to add regarding EURUSD structure. The weight of evidence continues to favor bulls. Our preferred count treats the consolidation from 1.6018 to the end of June as a triangle in the wave IV position (within the 5 wave advance from 1.1640). From the 6/23 low on 1.5468, the EURUSD has rallied impulsively, declined correctively, rallied impulsively, and is currently declining (correctively to this point). The drop from 1.6039 is viewed as wave ii of 3. Look for support near 1.57 today or early next week. We are bullish against 1.5611.

Visit our recently updated Euro Currency Room for specific resources geared towards this currency.

STRATEGY: Bullish, against 1.5611, targets 1.6325 and above

The USDJPY decline from 107.75 could be the beginning of a 3rd wave within the decline from 108.57. Bigger picture, the advance from 95.72 is in 3 waves (A-B-C). Wave C is nearly 61.8% of wave A, a common relationship. The pair has broken the support line shown above and held below the 200 day SMA. We wrote yesterday to “look for resistance as high as 106.75/107.00; the former trendline and a congestion zone.” The USDJPY spiked into 107 yesterday and is pressuring the figure again this morning. If the bearish bias is to prove correct, then price needs to fall before 107.75.

Visit our recently updated Yen Currency Room for specific resources geared towards this currency.

STRATEGY: Bearish, against 107.75, targets 101.97 and below

Wave C of a triangle may be complete at 2.0156 and wave D could be underway now. However, we favor the count that treats the advance from 1.9364 as wave C of a flat, which will not end until above 2.04. The red line on this chart is the 200 day SMA, which the GBPUSD is holding above. Keep risk at 1.9810 and look for support in the 1.9884-1.9925 zone.

Visit our recently updated British Pound Currency Room for specific resources geared towards this currency.

STRATEGY: Bullish, against 1.9810, target TBD

The short term picture remains clouded. When in doubt, focus on facts. The facts are that the rally from .9647 is in 3 waves and that since early May the USDCHF has made a series of lower highs. This evidence is bearish. As long as price is below the most recent high (1.0352), a bearish bias is warranted. 1.0250 may provide resistance.

Wave E is still underway but is nearing an end. E waves (as we’ve written here often) are usually sharp and the decline has accelerated. In fact, do not be surprised to see a test of the lower triangle line near .99 before the USDCAD turns up. We’ll look to identify the bottom next week.

Visit our recently updated Canadian Dollar Currency Room for specific resources geared towards this currency

The AUDUSD setback has reached and bounced from just above the 50% of .9475-.9849. The drop from .9849 is clearly in 3 waves (corrective) to this point; therefore evidence continues to support bulls. A cautious bullish bias is warranted against .9677.

The NZDUSD fell sharply yesterday but a drop below .7587 is required in order to make the decline from .7761 an impulse and suggest that the trend has turned back down. Until then, gains (albeit correctively) are still possible.

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