7.15.2008

The Forex Market Today

The Markets Today Tuesday 15 July 2008 / 09:55h CET

EUR/USD

1.5970


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It has reached Fridays top and remains well bid as market continues to fear rising oil and falling stock markets.. Short-term bullish trend at 1.5920, while it holds the Euro can move on higher.

If the current double-top at 1.5970 holds, there is risk of a set-back. Medium-term bullish trend is 200 pips lower.

1.5920 MINOR

1.5970 STRONG

1.5885 STRONG

1.6000 MINOR

1.5840 STRONG

1.6030 STRONG


GBP/USD

2.0020


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It pierced the 2.00 level this morning and has room to continue higher to 2.0130 / 2.0180 strong resistance.

Short-term bullish trend at 1.9945, an hourly break risks 1.9830 or even 1.9770.

2.0000 STRONG

2.0030 MINOR

1.9945 TREND

2.0130 STRONG

1.9830 STRONG

2.0180 STRONG


USD/JPY

105.50


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

We see a divergence in USDJPY charts, and we will try buying here for a quick pull-back to 106.20.

An hourly break of 105.20 stops the short-term bullish view and we risk descending towards 104.40

105.35 STRONG

105.85 MINOR

104.85 MINOR

106.25 STRONG

104.40 STRONG

106.60 KEY


USD/CHF

1.0100


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It has traded through the 1.0120 key level. High risk of widening the downside to 1.00 or even beyond.

It would need a return to above 1.0135 to stop the current bear move.

1.0075 MINOR

1.0135 STRONG

1.0000 STRONG

1.0160 MINOR

0.9965 STRONG

1.0220 STRONG


XAU/USD

975.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

965 was clearly broken and Gold remains very bid here this morning. Next target 988 and it could trade through 1000 again soon.

A daily close underneath of 965 stops this move and a correction towards 935 could be expected.

972 MINOR

980 MINOR

965 STRONG

988 STRONG

935 STRONG

1000 STRONG


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