7.17.2008

The Forex Markets Today

The Markets Today Thursday 17 July 2008 / 10:35h CET

EUR/USD

1.5860


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It dropped but has so far not reached the bullish trend-line at 1.5770 today. While underneath of 1.5890 we like to be short and see a test of that key support.

An hourly close above 1.5890 is a buy signal for 1.5960 in the short-term and possible retry of 1.6030.

1.5840 MINOR

1.5890 STRONG

1.5775 TREND

1.5960 MINOR

1.5730 MINOR

1.6030 STRONG


GBP/USD

2.0000


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Underneath of 2.00 there is space to drop further – target 1.9910 in a slow day, if volatile we can reach 1.9785.

Short-term bearish trend-line at 2.0030 is key to watch, stop short upon its break.

2.0020 TREND

2.0000 STRONG

1.9965 MINOR

2.0030 TREND

1.9910 STRONG

2.0100 STRONG


USD/JPY

105.30


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

A good bounce from the lows and an additional 100pips of upside potential today.

Strong support at 104.70, a break there stops the corrective upmove.

105.15 MINOR

105.60 MINOR

104.70 STRONG

106.20 MINOR

104.15 KEY

106.60 STRONG


USD/CHF

1.0160


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

1.00 has held and the Dollar recovered to 1.0185 so far. This is a good sign that the Dollar fall will end soon and we look to slowly move up towards 1.03

Short-term bullish trend at 1.0135 this morning, a break risks 1.0090, 1.00 remains key.

1.0135 TREND

1.0185 STRONG

1.0090 STRONG

1.0245 STRONG

1.0000 KEY

1.0320 STRONG


XAU/USD

963.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Dropped through 965 and holding underneath. Stay short, place a tight stop at 966, expect a move down to 935.

A daily close above 965 will maintain Gold high with room to rise again towards 1000

958 MINOR

965 STRONG

947 STRONG

972 MINOR

935 KEY

980 STRONG


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