8.04.2008

The Forex Markets Today

The Markets Today Monday 04 August 2008 / 09:40h CET

EUR/USD

1.5585


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Fridays fall was stopped at 1.5505 and the Euro bounced back to the starting point. Strong bearish trend at 1.5610, SELL here, we continue to wait for a fall targeting 1.5350

A close above 1.5625 on the 4-H charts stops the immediate bearish view and further range 1.5550 - 1.5750 may be seen this week.

1.5570 MINOR

1.5610 TREND

1.5525 STRONG

1.5625 KEY

1.5460 STRONG

1.5700 STRONG


GBP/USD

1.9705


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Cable is weakening and trades at the lowest level in 3 weeks. Minor support 1.9700, stronger at 1.9660 may hold and Cable risks a pullback towards 1.98

A fall through 1.9660 as space for a larger fall to as low as 1.9440.

1.9700 MINOR

1.9735 MINOR

1.9660 STRONG

1.9800 STRONG

1.9570 STRONG

1.9880 KEY


USD/JPY

107.80


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Expect to hold range 107.30 / 107.90 with bias to break the top. Medium-term target remains 110.

An hourly break at 107.25 risks trying the 106.65 key support.

107.25 STRONG

107.90 MINOR

106.65 KEY

108.20 STRONG

105.90 STRONG

108.90 MINOR


USD/CHF

1.0470


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

While above 1.0445 we remain bullish – target remains 1.0660

1.0445 intra-day key support broken risks a set-back to 1.0385, a daily close lower stops the rise.

1.0445 STRONG

1.0500 MINOR

1.0390 TREND

1.0540 MINOR

1.0350 MINOR

1.0660 TARGET


XAU/USD

914.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Bearish trend stands at 918 this morning – SELL here and look to widen the downside towards 880.

An hourly close above 918 stops the short-term bearish view and Gold could maintain a range 910 -935

911 MINOR

918 TREND

895 STRONG

923 MINOR

882 TARGET

930 STRONG

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