8.07.2008

The Forex Markets Today

The Markets Today Thursday 07 August 2008 / 10:15h CET

EUR/USD

1.5470


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Down to 1.5400 folowed by a 60-pip pullback. Bearish trend now at 1.5510, while underneath the Euro should continue to soften. We lower our target to 1.5290

A daily close above 1.5510 ends the bearish move and risks to see the pair hold in a range of 1.5450/1.5750 a while longer.

1.5450 MINOR

1.5475 MINOR

1.5425 STRONG

1.5510 TREND

1.5350 TARGET

1.5540 STRONG


GBP/USD

1.9500


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

A new low of 1.9460, this is a strong support and we risk to reverse up to 1.9565 before resuming the down-trend.

A break through 1.9460 has room for 1.9330. On top a daily close above 1.9565 can see a larger pull-back to above 1.97

1.9495 MINOR

1.9510 MINOR

1.9460 STRONG

1.9565 STRONG

1.9330 TARGET

1.9620 STRONG


USD/JPY

109.30


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Top of 109.75 means target achieved. Minor bullish trend at 109.35, a break there risks a fall back to strong 108.30

The market may want to see the 110 handle trade and keep the pair in high range all day.

109.35 MINOR

109.80 STRONG

108.90 STRONG

110.05 MINOR

108.30 KEY

110.30 STRONG


USD/CHF

1.0555


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

1.0620 high and back to the rising support at 1.0550. While this holds we can attempt 1.06 again, target remains 1.0660

A break of 1.0550 on the 4-H chart risks a dip to 1.0485 key, a lower daily close stops the bullish view.

1.0550 MINOR

1.0585 MINOR

1.0485 KEY

1.0620 MINOR

1.0445 STRONG

1.0660 TARGET


XAU/USD

883.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Expect Gold to remain range-bound 872 / 888, bias is to widen the downside towards 865 or even 850

A daily close above 888 could see Gold try the 905 key resistance tomorrow.

880 MINOR

888 STRONG

872 STRONG

894 MINOR

865 STRONG

906 KEY



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