Forex Market Overview 22 August 2008
The Usd continued to decline in the Asian session as worries over the US financial markets and surging crude prices weighed on the Dollar sentiment. The EurUsd climbed to the 1.4900 levels, before retracing slightly to 1.4876, while the UsdJpy declined and is now trading at 108.90. Crude rose across the board, with wti moving up $5.00, above $120.00bll. With concerns of a production cut swirling around the September 9th OPEC's meeting and Wednesday’s inventories lower than expected still lingering, crude has picked up a bullish tone. And given the high level of the Usd this commodity will be the prime driver in currency pricing today. In addition, 5-year swap spreads are now hoving around 100bp, the widest level since the Bear Stern disaster and before that you would have to go to 2001 and the equity market collapse to find spreads this wide. A gloomy sign if ever was one. Outside Bernanke’s scheduled speech in Wyoming (given the uncertainty surrounding the financial market, traders will be on a heightened state of alert) the market will be without any real events or data releases, so traders should be particularly aware of price-action in other assets classes.
AUDUSD
R 3: 0.8846
R 2: 0.8797
R 1: 0.8757
CURRENT: 0.8735
S 1: 0.8626
S 2: 0.8593
S 3: 0.8503
EURJPY
R 3: 163.88
R 2: 163.10
R 1: 162.39
CURRENT: 162.07
S 1: 160.88
S 2: 160.14
S 3: 158.61
USDSGD
R 3: 1.4265
R 2: 1.4219
R 1: 1.4201
CURRENT: 1.4082
S 1: 1.4025
S 2: 1.3891
S 3: 1.3819
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