8.18.2008

Weakness In USD

Forex Market Overview 18 August 2008

The Usd was slightly weaker in the Asian session and start of the trading week. This week will have market participants pondering the swift unraveling of the global growth decoupling story and sharp correction in commodity prices. The massive surge in the Usd caught many analysts off guard, causing a broad recalculation of forecasts. However, most are now predicting a short term tempering of Usd buying. We should like to see how this week's trading plays out, before expressing our short term bias. The EurUsd traded upward from 1.4649 to 1.4767, while UsdJpy fell slightly from 110.61 to 109.97 on light trading. The commodity bloc was able to gain some ground, with the NzdUsd moving sharply from 0.7040 to 0.7100 and AudUsd from 0.8654 to 0.8745. Crude is slightly higher trading at $115.11bll up 1.17% while gold is above the $800oz mark. The Asian regional indexes are following Wall Street mixed closed on Friday, with Shanghai down -4.61%. European futures are now pointing to a mixed opening.

With a relatively empty calendar today, the European session markets will be watching the EuroZone trade balance for signs of global weakness.

Daily Forex Pivot Point

AUDUSD
R 3: 0.8952
R 2: 0.8845
R 1: 0.8797
CURRENT: 0.8750
S 1: 0.8652
S 2: 0.8593
S 3: 0.8504

EURJPY
R 3: 164.40
R 2: 163.88
R 1: 163.10
CURRENT: 162.52
S 1: 161.845
S 2: 161.39
S 3: 160.15

USDSGD
R 3: 1.4265
R 2: 1.4220
R 1: 1.4193
CURRENT: 1.4123
S 1: 1.4025
S 2: 1.3890
S 3: 1.3820

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