7.31.2008

The Forex Market Today

The Markets Today Thursday 31 July 2008 / 10:50h CET

EUR/USD

1.5610


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

We remain Dollar bullish. 1.5625 initial resistance, trend-line at 1.5665 – sell tops, expect a dip to 1.5500, target 1.5350 by tomorrow.

A clear break of 1.5665 stops the immediate bearish move and can see the pair recover to 1.5750 key.

1.5590 MINOR

1.5625 MINOR

1.5525 STRONG

1.5665 TREND

1.5490 STRONG

1.5750 KEY


GBP/USD

1.9805


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Cable is still holding the 1.9800 level, but the old bullish trend has been crossed long ago and we are waiting for a fall to 1.9660 or lower.

Initial resistance 1.9830 broken risks a rise to 1.9915 key.

1.9765 STRONG

1.9830 STRONG

1.9720 MINOR

1.9915 KEY

1.9660 STRONG

2.0000 STRONG


USD/JPY

108.20


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

As long as it remains above 108.05 we like to keep longs, target remains 110.

A break of 108.05 risks 107.70, an hourly close lower stops the bullish move and risks a set-back to 106.75

108.05 TREND

108.30 MINOR

107.70 STRONG

108.50 STRONG

106.75 KEY

108.90 MINOR


USD/CHF

1.0470


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It maintains very high levels and is set to cross into the 1.05 handle for a push towards 1.0660

Watch 1.0445 initial support, a break there risks a set-back to trend-line at 1.0345

1.0445 STRONG

1.0500 MINOR

1.0405 MINOR

1.0540 MINOR

1.0345 TREND

1.0660 TARGET


XAU/USD

912.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Gold fell and recovered but is unable to cross the old 917 key level. Stay short, we look for another fall towards 885

An hourly close above 917 can see Gold recover up to 930

906 MINOR

917 STRONG

895 STRONG

925 MINOR

885 TARGET

933 KEY

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