7.28.2008

Forex Market Overview

The Markets Today Friday 28 July 2008

EUR/USD

1.5730


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Wait to SELL tops near 1.5750, strong resistance 1.5765, initial strong support 1.5695, a break there has space for a strong move down to 1.5450

Hourly close above 1.5770 stops the short-term view, but we will not go long unless 1.5820 breaks.

1.5695 STRONG

1.5765 STRONG

1.5640 MINOR

1.5820 KEY

1.5500 TARGET

1.5860 STRONG


GBP/USD

1.9875


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It trades right at the 6-week rising trend this morning, 1.9875 holds the day the pair can challenge 2.00 once again. A break lower does look likely but it needs to break 1.98 to confirm a reversal.

As long as the bullish trend holds and possibility of a daily close above 2.00 exists, Cable could still rally strongly.

1.9870 TREND

1.9930 MINOR

1.9810 STRONG

1.9995 KEY

1.9660 STRONG

2.0060 MINOR


USD/JPY

107.70


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Expect to hold in high range in the short-term 107.60 / 108.10 in slow markets, 107.00 / 108.50 is possible.

Outlook is for further Dollar rise to 109.30 next and 110 target. A break of 107.10 risks 106.60.

107.60 MINOR

108.10 STRONG

107.10 STRONG

108.50 STRONG

105.85 STRONG

109.30 STRONG


USD/CHF

1.0340


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

It risks a set-back to trend-line at 1.0265 before it can continue rising. Wait to BUY on dips.

1.0400 strong resistance, an hourly break above can see a 100 points rise

1.0305 MINOR

1.0370 MINOR

1.0265 TREND

1.0400 KEY

1.0210 MINOR

1.0485 STRONG


XAU/USD

929.00


EXPECTATION

THE RISK

SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

We are carefully bullish in the very short-term only, looking for a rise to 935 or even 940. Medium-term traders should wait to establish short up there.

A break of strong support 926 risks a fall to 916.90, a lower daily close is bearish Gold for 870-ish

926 STRONG

934 MINOR

916.90 KEY

939 STRONG

908 MINOR

945 TREND


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