Forex Market Overview

Forex Market Overview 31 July 2008

The Usd traded sideways in Asian session, after the stronger ADP figures and rally on Wall Street pushed the greenback higher. The EurUsd traded in a 1.5525 to 1.5602 range, while the UsdJpy traded between 107.80 and 108.34. US stocks gained, as ADP pointed to a 9k gain vs. -60k, giving hope that Friday's NFP will prove stronger then the -75k expected. The S&P gained 1.7% and 2 year Ts dropped by 2.6%. Crude rallied to $126.88brl, but with global demand slowing we expected upside to be limited.

Yesterday's decision by the Turkish Constitutional Court not to close the AKP was clearly seen as positive for markets, with Try and equities gaining on the report (with a positive gap at the open today). While the verdict has not ended all domestic concerns, it will go a long way to ease investors concerns.

The Japanese Industrial production fell by -2.0% m/m vs. -1.7% exp. The government has already cut forecasts for industrial output, as surveys point to further weakness ahead.

The European Session will be focused on Eurozone's July flash CPI. The market is expecting a new record high of 4.1% and there is little evidence to suggest otherwise. This figure, combined with the sharp drop in key Economic Sentiment Indicator, will mean at some point soon the ECB will have to make a tough choice. Inflation or Growth.

Daily Forex Pivot Points
AUDUSD
R 3: 0.9637
R 2: 0.9590
R 1: 0.9528
CURRENT: 0.9438
S 1: 0.9404
S 2: 0.9328
S 3: 0.9276

EURJPY
R 3: 171.81
R 2: 171.07
R 1: 169.97
CURRENT: 168.27
S 1: 167.50
S 2: 166.01
S 3: 165.33

USDSGD
R 3: 1.3850
R 2: 1.3827
R 1: 1.3717
CURRENT: 1.3685
S 1: 1.3606
S 2: 1.3567
S 3: 1.3501

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